Home

Trading Signals by Subscription

Trading Systems for Purchase

Free Stuff:
One Month of Free Signals to

Login
Free Signals for Book Owners
About Keith Fitschen
Contact Information
Preferred Brokers
Subscribe/Order Information and Pricing
Subscribe/Order

Paradigm Shift, Stock Indices

I'm Keith Fitschen. My Paradigm Shift, Stock Indices, system is a unique commodity futures trading strategy for US stock indices. It uses the exact same logic and parameter values across all five stock indices. The strategy wins about 60 percent of it’s trades, nets an average profit of about $1,400 per trade, and averages over $60,000 per year since May 2011. These hypothetical performance figures are based on CSI continuous contracts, and they include a $50 slippage and commission deduction from each trade. Paradigm Shift, Stock Indices is only available through subscription.

Paradigm Shift, Stock Indices Details

The strategy enters a trade on a stop when there is a high probability of a strong move in that direction. Signals are given when CSI end-of-day data becomes available, between 8:30 and 9:00 PM EST. The trade risk in dollars is given with each order. If the risk is too high for your account size, bypass the trade. Trades are exited when the probability of a move in the trade direction lowers, or when the stop value is exceeded. Exit is done on the next open.

Paradigm Shift, Stock Indices Performance by Commodity

The following tables show the strategies’ trade results from May 2011 through October 2013. These figures were generated using continuous, back-adjusted contracts. A $50 slippage and commission deduction was taken from each trade.

Stock Indices
Win
Loss
Profit
S&P 500 (mini)
14
5
$39,062
Nasdaq (mini)
8
7
$6,220
Dow Jones (mini)
10
10
$13,165
Russell 2000 (mini)
19
5
$69,979
Midcap 400 (mini)
16
12
$35,990
Totals
76
46
$171,442

The average trade lasts about 13 trading days, nets about $1,405, and is profitable about 60 percent of the time.

These results were generated using back-adjusted continuous contracts. A $50 slippage and commission deduction was made. The following CFTC notice on hypothetical results should be noted.


NOTICE: "HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS, SOME OF WHICH ARE DESCRIBED BELOW. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND THE ACTUAL RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY ANY PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM. ONE OF THE LIMITATIONS OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS IS THAT THEY ARE GENERALLY PREPARED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES ARE MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

Commodity Futures Trading: Trading the Strategy

The strategy issues the trade risk with each signal. Smaller accounts should limit the number of trades that are on at any given time, and limit trades to a certain trade risk threshold, or less. The following tables provide historical performance when the number of trades is limited, and a max risk threshold is observed.

Small Account Performance when a Max of 1 Trade is on versus Entry Risk Threshold
Max Risk Threshold
Average Annual Return
Max Draw-Down
Average Max Draw-Down
N/A, All Trades
$14,746
$8,645
$7,260
$3,000
$16,705
$5,875
$5,427
$2,500
$16,705
$5,875
$5,875
$2,000
$11,579
$6,128
$6,002

 

Small Account Performance when a Max of 2 Trade is on versus Entry Risk Threshold
Max Risk Threshold
Average Annual Return
Max Draw-Down
Average Max Draw-Down
N/A, All Trades

$22,351

$23,564
$16,648
$3,000
$25,322
$9,732
$9,698
$2,500
$21,353
$9,732
$9,698
$2,000
$14,077
$12,582
$9,834

 

Small Account Performance when a Max of 3 Trade is on versus Entry Risk Threshold
Max Risk Threshold
Average Annual Return
Max Draw-Down
Average Max Draw-Down
N/A, All Trades
$37,333
$28,819
$22,063
$3,000
$34,463
$14,774
$13,749
$2,500
$28,829
$15,632
$12,123
$2,000
$21,525
$12,780
$10,697

 

Subscription Signals

The Paradigm Shift, Stock Indices signals are only available through subscription. If you subscribe, you will select a user name and password. Each day you login to this website to see the signals. The following table shows the actual signals for August 22, 2011, based on closing data from August 19, 2011. Each of the 45 commodities is listed, along with it’s current contract month, position, and any new orders. It’s very simple to trade: all entries and exits are stop orders, so the orders can be placed as soon as they are posted. Once you’ve placed the orders, you’re done til the next day.

Paradigm Shift, Stock Indices Signals

Based on Closing Data for 20110819

Nasdaq 100*
December
Short since 20131120. Open equity profit: -130.
S&P 500*
December
Out. Sell at 1759.25 Stop
Russell 2000*
December
Out. Short since 20131101. Open equity profit: -1100
Midcap 400*
December
Out. Short since 20131120. Open equity profit: -50
Dow Jones
December
Out. Sell at 15591 stop.
Trading Statistics (Open Equity)
Open Equity Winning Trades: 0
Open Equity Losing Trades: 3
Open Equity Profit: -$1,280
Trading Statistics (2012)
Winning Trades in 2012: 22
Losing Trades in 2012: 17
Total Profit in 2012: $67,065
Trading Statistics (2013)
Winning Trades in 2013: 24
Losing Trades in 2013: 24
Total Profit in 2013: $19,300

Subscription Cost

If you trade the strategy yourself, the price for a subscription is $149 per month. Payment is made via credit card and auto-billed each month until you decide to stop.

Broker-Assist

You can also opt to have one of our “preferred brokers” trade the strategy for you. They take all the work out of the trading: managing entry, exit, and rollovers. If you trade the strategy through one of the brokers below, the price for a subscription is $99 per month, on a one-contract per signal basis. Payment is deducted from your trading account each month.

Preferred Brokers:

Daniels Trading: 877-276-4631

 

TradeSystem, Inc.
11276 Ballantyne Crossing Ave., Charlotte, NC 28277
Toll Free: 800-372-3942 FAX: 704-752-7992 International: 704-752-7991

 

 

 
Copyright © 2017 Trade System, Inc. All Rights Reserved.